Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at 8號卡牌屋店冠賽
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 40.0% | 8 | 2-4-2 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 39.7% | -4.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.2% | -3.7 |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.7% | +11.2 |
| Fire Exia | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 38.8% | -8.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.5 |
| Water Fractal | 2.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 70.1% | +19.3 |
| Water Genbu | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.4% | -4.4 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 28 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 28 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Winbless Lookout | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Expeditious Opening | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 |